A new report by Yardi® Matrix indicates that multifamily deliveries might outpace demand in some key U.S. housing markets.
Yardi Matrix conducted a study to determine which areas might be at risk of oversupply or undersupply over the next five years. The research revealed that deliveries in 2016 and 2017 helped compensate for the construction shortage in the wake of the Great Recession.
"Most of the metros that are at short-term risk of oversupply have strong economies and healthy multifamily demand, so units coming online should be absorbed by growing populations," the report concludes.
Markets and submarkets with outsize development activity, however, "can expect volatility" that will give rise to higher vacancy rates and stagnant rent growth. Achieving market equilibrium going forward will require developers to "intelligently calibrate the amount and location of new projects" to accommodate finite demand.
Yardi Matrix identified Denver, Seattle, Dallas, Phoenix, Miami and Charlotte, N.C., as key markets at risk of oversupply over the next five years. Demand is projected to exceed supply in Los Angeles, California's Inland Empire, Houston, New York, San Diego and Sacramento, Calif.
Read "U.S. Multifamily Supply and Demand Forecasts by Metro" to learn more about homeownership, population shifts, social trends and other factors affecting the multifamily market.
Related Stories
Market Data | Feb 27, 2018
AIA small firm report: Half of employees have ownership stake in their firm
The American Institute of Architects has released its first-ever Small Firm Compensation Report.
Market Data | Feb 21, 2018
Strong start for architecture billings in 2018
The American Institute of Architects reported the January 2018 ABI score was 54.7, up from a score of 52.8 in the previous month.
Multifamily Housing | Feb 15, 2018
United States ranks fourth for renter growth
Renters are on the rise in 21 of the 30 countries examined in RentCafé’s recent study.
Market Data | Feb 1, 2018
Nonresidential construction spending expanded 0.8% in December, brighter days ahead
“The tax cut will further bolster liquidity and confidence, which will ultimately translate into more construction starts and spending,” said ABC Chief Economist Anirban Basu.
Green | Jan 31, 2018
U.S. Green Building Council releases annual top 10 states for LEED green building per capita
Massachusetts tops the list for the second year; New York, Hawaii and Illinois showcase leadership in geographically diverse locations.
Industry Research | Jan 30, 2018
AIA’s Kermit Baker: Five signs of an impending upturn in construction spending
Tax reform implications and rebuilding from natural disasters are among the reasons AIA’s Chief Economist is optimistic for 2018 and 2019.
Market Data | Jan 30, 2018
AIA Consensus Forecast: 4.0% growth for nonresidential construction spending in 2018
The commercial office and retail sectors will lead the way in 2018, with a strong bounce back for education and healthcare.
Market Data | Jan 29, 2018
Year-end data show economy expanded in 2017; Fixed investment surged in fourth quarter
The economy expanded at an annual rate of 2.6% during the fourth quarter of 2017.
Market Data | Jan 25, 2018
Renters are the majority in 42 U.S. cities
Over the past 10 years, the number of renters has increased by 23 million.
Market Data | Jan 24, 2018
HomeUnion names the most and least affordable rental housing markets
Chicago tops the list as the most affordable U.S. metro, while Oakland, Calif., is the most expensive rental market.
