Associated Builders and Contractors (ABC) Chief Economist Anirban Basu, American Institute of Architects (AIA) Chief Economist Kermit Baker and National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) Chief Economist Robert Dietz predicted continued growth for the construction industry in 2017 during a joint economic forecast this week (download the PDF slidedeck; watch the archived presentation).
Each economist discussed leading, present, and future indicators for sector performance, including ABC’s Construction Backlog Indicator (CBI), AIA’s latest Architecture Billings Index (ABI) and Construction Consensus Forecast, and the NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI).
The economists’ comments can be read below.
Anirban Basu, ABC Chief Economist: "Nonresidential construction spending growth will continue into the next year with an estimated increase in the range of 3 to 4 percent. Growth will continue to be led by privately financed projects, with commercial construction continuing to lead the way. Energy-related construction will become less of a drag in 2017, while public spending will continue to be lackluster."
Robert Dietz, NAHB Chief Economist: "Our forecast shows single-family production expanding by more than 10 percent in 2016, and the robust multifamily sector leveling off. Historically low mortgage interest rates and favorable demographics should keep the housing market moving forward at a gradual pace, but residential construction growth will be constrained by shortages of labor and lots and rising regulatory costs."
Kermit Baker, AIA Chief Economist: "Revenue at architecture firms continues to grow, so prospects for the construction industry remain solid over the next 12 to 18 months. Given current demographic trends, the single-family residential and the institutional building sectors have the greatest potential for further expansion at present."
Related Stories
Market Data | Jul 25, 2017
Moderating economic growth triggers construction forecast downgrade for 2017 and 2018
Prospects for the construction industry have weakened with developments over the first half of the year.
Industry Research | Jul 6, 2017
The four types of strategic real estate amenities
From swimming pools to pirate ships, amenities (even crazy ones) aren’t just perks, but assets to enhance performance.
Market Data | Jun 29, 2017
Silicon Valley, Long Island among the priciest places for office fitouts
Coming out on top as the most expensive market to build out an office is Silicon Valley, Calif., with an out-of-pocket cost of $199.22.
Market Data | Jun 26, 2017
Construction disputes were slightly less contentious last year
But poorly written and administered contracts are still problems, says latest Arcadis report.
Industry Research | Jun 26, 2017
Time to earn an architecture license continues to drop
This trend is driven by candidates completing the experience and examination programs concurrently and more quickly.
Industry Research | Jun 22, 2017
ABC's Construction Backlog Indicator rebounds in 2017
The first quarter showed gains in all categories.
Market Data | Jun 21, 2017
Design billings maintain solid footing, strong momentum reflected in project inquiries/design contracts
Balanced growth results in billings gains in all sectors.
Market Data | Jun 16, 2017
Residential construction was strong, but not enough, in 2016
The Joint Center for Housing Studies’ latest report expects minorities and millennials to account for the lion’s share of household formations through 2035.
Industry Research | Jun 15, 2017
Commercial Construction Index indicates high revenue and employment expectations for 2017
USG Corporation (USG) and U.S. Chamber of Commerce release survey results gauging confidence among industry leaders.
Market Data | Jun 2, 2017
Nonresidential construction spending falls in 13 of 16 segments in April
Nonresidential construction spending fell 1.7% in April 2017, totaling $696.3 billion on a seasonally adjusted, annualized basis, according to analysis of U.S. Census Bureau data released today by Associated Builders and Contractors.
