Nonresidential construction spending contracted 1.6% on a monthly basis in June, according to an Associated Builders and Contractors analysis of U.S. Census Bureau data released today. Spending totaled $742.4 billion on a seasonally adjusted annual rate for the month, a 4.2% increase from the same time one year ago. Private nonresidential spending fell 0.3% in June, while public nonresidential spending contracted by 3.5%.
“The hope is that June’s construction spending setback is merely a statistical aberration,” said ABC Chief Economist Anirban Basu. “That is certainly a possibility given the recent second quarter gross domestic product report, which among other things indicated extraordinarily rapid growth in the construction of structures. Other data, including ABC’s Construction Backlog Indicator, indicate ongoing elevated levels of demand for construction services. Construction employment statistics are also consistent with industry expansion.
“But as tempting as it is to simply relegate June spending data to the back burner, there are other less benign explanations,” said Basu. “One relates to worker productivity. With construction firms suffering grave difficulty finding skilled workers, it may simply be a case of slowed construction service delivery. However, this is not an especially compelling explanation for one month of data. The shortage of human capital is long-lived, and the recent pace of construction hiring has been rapid.
“A more likely explanation is that the recent surge in construction materials prices is resulting in material acquisition delays,” said Basu. “This has the effect of lengthening projects as contractors painstakingly search for the most affordable sources of steel, lumber or other inputs. Since monthly construction spending declines were apparent in both private and public segments, it is also possible that certain projects have been put on hold, with the hope that input prices will eventually decline to lower levels.”
Related Stories
Data Centers | Jan 28, 2016
Top 10 markets for data center construction
JLL’s latest outlook foresees a maturation in certain metros.
Market Data | Jan 20, 2016
Nonresidential building starts sag in 2015
CDM Research finds only a few positive signs among the leading sectors.
Market Data | Jan 20, 2016
Architecture Billings Index ends year on positive note
While volatility persists, architecture firms reported healthy performance for 2015.
Market Data | Jan 15, 2016
ABC: Construction material prices continue free fall in December
In December, construction material prices fell for the sixth consecutive month. Prices have declined 7.2% since peaking in August 2014.
Market Data | Jan 13, 2016
Morgan Stanley bucks gloom and doom, thinks U.S. economy has legs through 2020
Strong job growth and dwindling consumer debt give rise to hope.
Hotel Facilities | Jan 13, 2016
Hotel construction should remain strong through 2017
More than 100,000 rooms could be delivered this year alone.
Market Data | Jan 6, 2016
Census Bureau revises 10 years’ worth of construction spending figures
The largest revisions came in the last two years and were largely upward.
Market Data | Jan 5, 2016
Majority of AEC firms saw growth in 2015, remain optimistic for 2016: BD+C survey
By all indications, 2015 was another solid year for U.S. architecture, engineering, and construction firms.
Market Data | Jan 5, 2016
Nonresidential construction spending falters in November
Only 4 of 16 subsectors showed gains
Market Data | Dec 15, 2015
AIA: Architecture Billings Index hits another bump
Business conditions show continued strength in South and West regions.