flexiblefullpage -
billboard - default
interstitial1 - interstitial
catfish1 - bottom
Currently Reading

Apartment developer survey indicates dramatic decrease in starts this year

Apartments

Apartment developer survey indicates dramatic decrease in starts this year

John Burns' Apartment Developer and Investor Survey reveals key insights for developers this year: The slowing pipeline of new developments, peak of post-Covid construction, and more.


By Quinn Purcell, Managing Editor | January 9, 2024
Residental Building on sky background Adobe Stock
New Report: Burns Apartment Developer and Investor Survey. Photo courtesy Adobe Stock

Over 56 developers, operators, and investors across the country were surveyed in John Burns Research and Consulting's recently-launched Apartment Developer and Investor Survey. The November 2023 report collected two month's of data to find clarity in the multifamily market, including capital access, lease-up challenges, and the overall development pipeline.

Overall, Burns has outlined four key takeaways for developers and investors to be mindful of in 2024.

Burns Apartment Developer and Investor Survey Takeaways


1. Apartment developers anticipate a dramatic decrease in construction and new starts

As post-Covid construction has peaked, developers expect new apartment starts to slow by 20–50%.

Forty percent of developers surveyed have over 500 units currently under construction. While a surge of projects will finish by 2025, future starts are believed to slow dramatically.

Nearly all respondents have found securing financing to be increasingly difficult.

2. Investors “sidelined” as interest rates create cautious lenders

Apartment transactions have come to a halt as financing tightens and pricing uncertainty grows. Only 16% of those surveyed reported selling an apartment property in the last six months, and 70% say they are not planning to purchase in the next six months.

There was little consensus on current pricing levels. A few respondents believe their assets are undervalued, while the rest are split between seeing their assets as fairly-priced or overvalued. According to Burns, this disparity reflects the ongoing disconnect between buyers and sellers.

3. Affordability is an important factor for residents of newly opened communities 

A significant factor for resident retention is affordability. The research finds that the most common reasons tenants won't renew their lease is to move into a less expensive apartment or to move in with roommates instead.

Three-quarters (75%) of respondents are averaging double-digit monthly leases at unstabilized communities as well, indicating healthy lease-up trends.

4. Thoughtful design and amenities—especially service-oriented ones—must be superior

According to Burns, developers have underscored the importance of project design and high-quality amenities. Those surveyed indicated that new communities must have amenities that are in-line, if not superior, to the competition.

Some have also begun focusing less on physical amenities like pools and parks, and more on service-oriented amenities such as concierge services.

Click here to access the entire Apartment Developer and Investor Survey.

Related Stories

Products and Materials | Sep 29, 2023

Top building products for September 2023

BD+C Editors break down 15 of the top building products this month, from smart light switches to glass wall systems.

Office Buildings | Sep 28, 2023

Structural engineering solutions for office-to-residential conversion

IMEG's Edwin Dean,  Joe Gulden, and Doug Sweeney, share seven key focuses for structural engineers when planning office-to-residential conversions.

Multifamily Housing | Sep 26, 2023

Midwest metros see greatest rent increase in September 2023

While the median monthly price of rent has increased by 0.71% in August, the year-over-year estimates show a national change of -0.06 percent.

Contractors | Sep 25, 2023

Balfour Beatty expands its operations in Tampa Bay, Fla.

Balfour Beatty is expanding its leading construction operations into the Tampa Bay area offering specialized and expert services to deliver premier projects along Florida’s Gulf Coast.

Cladding and Facade Systems | Sep 22, 2023

5 building façade products for your next multifamily project

A building's façade acts as a first impression of the contents within. For the multifamily sector, they have the potential to draw in tenants on aesthetics alone.

MFPRO+ Blog | Sep 21, 2023

The benefits of strategic multifamily housing repositioning

With the rapid increase in new multifamily housing developments, owners of existing assets face increasing competition. As their assets age and the number of new developments increases seemingly day-by-day, developers will inevitably have to find a way to stay relevant.

Adaptive Reuse | Sep 19, 2023

Transforming shopping malls into 21st century neighborhoods

As we reimagine the antiquated shopping mall, Marc Asnis, AICP, Associate, Perkins&Will, details four first steps to consider.

MFPRO+ Research | Sep 11, 2023

Conversions of multifamily dwellings to ‘mansions’ leading to dwindling affordable stock

Small multifamily homes have historically provided inexpensive housing for renters and buyers, but developers have converted many of them in recent decades into larger, single-family units. This has worsened the affordable housing crisis, say researchers.

Designers | Sep 5, 2023

Optimizing interior design for human health

Page Southerland Page demonstrates how interior design influences our mood, mental health, and physical comfort.

Adaptive Reuse | Aug 31, 2023

New York City creates team to accelerate office-to-residential conversions

New York City has a new Office Conversion Accelerator Team that provides a single point of contact within city government to help speed adaptive reuse projects. Projects that create 50 or more housing units from office buildings are eligible for this new program. 

boombox1 - default
boombox2 -
native1 -

More In Category

Mass Timber

Charlotte's new multifamily mid-rise will feature exposed mass timber

Construction recently kicked off for Oxbow, a multifamily community in Charlotte’s The Mill District. The $97.8 million project, consisting of 389 rental units and 14,300 sf of commercial space, sits on 4.3 acres that formerly housed four commercial buildings. The street-level retail is designed for boutiques, coffee shops, and other neighborhood services.




halfpage1 -

Most Popular Content

  1. 2021 Giants 400 Report
  2. Top 150 Architecture Firms for 2019
  3. 13 projects that represent the future of affordable housing
  4. Sagrada Familia completion date pushed back due to coronavirus
  5. Top 160 Architecture Firms 2021