Is the construction industry in recovery or transition?
That’s the question raised by Rider Levett Bucknall’s North America Quarterly Construction Cost report for the second quarter of 2021.
On the positive side, the major economic indicators showed no signs for concern. Inflation in the first quarter of 2021 rose 1.7% over the previous quarter. The Gross Domestic Project increased by 6.4% in the first quarter of 2021 compared to the same period a year ago. And the index for Architectural Billings, at 55.6 in March, was above the 50 mark for the first time since Q4 2019. (It rose again in April, to 57.9.)
RLB’s Construction Cost Index, at 218.06 for the first quarter of 2021, was 4.6% above the same quarter in 2020. And construction in place in April, as valued by the U.S. Commerce Department, stood at $1.524 trillion, 9.8% higher than in April 2020.
On the glass-half-empty side, the construction industry is still hampered by supply-chain bottlenecks, volatile commodity prices, delayed permitting processes and materials tariffs. The ongoing shortage of qualified labor—construction unemployment, while down in the first quarter, was still 8.6%—is also having an impact on projects’ cost and scheduling, making budgeting and bidding “highly uncertain,” says RLB’s report.
The immediate future isn’t all that clear, either, what with the possibility of climbing interest rates, and the Biden Administration’s prioritizing clean energy and reduced carbon levels in response to climate change, which might also affect construction prices.
SEVERAL METROS EXCEED NATIONAL COST GROWTH AVERAGES
Construction spending was on the rise in all the metros that RLB tracked, several at rates higher than the 4.35% national average for the first quarter.
A closer look at construction costs per square foot found that San Francisco or Honolulu led the pack for hotels, industrial buildings, parking, five-star hotels, residential housing, and elementary education. New York outpaced other cities for new retail, high schools, and universities.
Boston, Chicago, New York, Phoenix, Portland, and Washington, D.C. all experienced percentage increases in construction costs above the 4.35% quarterly national average during Q1 2021 versus the same quarter a year ago. Other locations below the national average included Denver, Honolulu, Los Angeles, San Francisco, and Seattle. Las Vegas experienced the same escalation as the national average.
RLB thinks the most critical choices that GCs and CMs now face is identifying which building sectors to target while operating in a business environment that’s been altered by the coronavirus pandemic. For example, in the first quarter, the industrial sector grew by 12%, year-over-year; conversely hotels and hospitality projects contracted by 9%.
“One of the lessons learned from the past year is the central—and growing—role that technology plays in the AEC industries,” wrote Julian Anderson, FRICS, President of Rider Levett Bucknall North America. “The degree of operational efficiency that connected technologies affords is a true game changer, providing transparency, accuracy, and consistency to all stakeholders while accelerating the design process. From cost estimating to streamlining workflows to digital twins, these tools are transforming the landscape of design and construction.”
Related Stories
Student Housing | Feb 13, 2024
Student housing market expected to improve in 2024
The past year has brought tough times for student housing investment sales due to unfavorable debt markets. However, 2024 offers a brighter outlook if debt conditions improve as predicted.
Contractors | Feb 13, 2024
The average U.S. contractor has 8.4 months worth of construction work in the pipeline, as of January 2024
Associated Builders and Contractors reported today that its Construction Backlog Indicator declined to 8.4 months in January, according to an ABC member survey conducted from Jan. 22 to Feb. 4. The reading is down 0.6 months from January 2023.
Industry Research | Feb 8, 2024
New multifamily development in 2023 exceeded expectations
Despite a problematic financing environment, 2023 multifamily construction starts held up “remarkably well” according to the latest Yardi Matrix report.
Market Data | Feb 7, 2024
New download: BD+C's February 2024 Market Intelligence Report
Building Design+Construction's monthly Market Intelligence Report offers a snapshot of the health of the U.S. building construction industry, including the commercial, multifamily, institutional, and industrial building sectors. This report tracks the latest metrics related to construction spending, demand for design services, contractor backlogs, and material price trends.
Industry Research | Jan 31, 2024
ASID identifies 11 design trends coming in 2024
The Trends Outlook Report by the American Society of Interior Designers (ASID) is the first of a three-part outlook series on interior design. This design trends report demonstrates the importance of connection and authenticity.
Apartments | Jan 26, 2024
New apartment supply: Top 5 metros delivering in 2024
Nationally, the total new apartment supply amounts to around 1.4 million units—well exceeding the apartment development historical average of 980,000 units.
Self-Storage Facilities | Jan 25, 2024
One-quarter of self-storage renters are Millennials
Interest in self-storage has increased in over 75% of the top metros according to the latest StorageCafe survey of self-storage preferences. Today, Millennials make up 25% of all self-storage renters.
Industry Research | Jan 23, 2024
Leading economists forecast 4% growth in construction spending for nonresidential buildings in 2024
Spending on nonresidential buildings will see a modest 4% increase in 2024, after increasing by more than 20% last year according to The American Institute of Architects’ latest Consensus Construction Forecast. The pace will slow to just over 1% growth in 2025, a marked difference from the strong performance in 2023.
Construction Costs | Jan 22, 2024
Construction material prices continue to normalize despite ongoing challenges
Gordian’s most recent Quarterly Construction Cost Insights Report for Q4 2023 describes an industry still attempting to recover from the impact of COVID. This was complicated by inflation, weather, and geopolitical factors that resulted in widespread pricing adjustments throughout the construction materials industries.
Hotel Facilities | Jan 22, 2024
U.S. hotel construction is booming, with a record-high 5,964 projects in the pipeline
The hotel construction pipeline hit record project counts at Q4, with the addition of 260 projects and 21,287 rooms over last quarter, according to Lodging Econometrics.