The U.S. Department of Energy’s latest “Energy Savings Forecast of Solid-State Lighting in General Illumination Applications” report predicts that LED lighting sales will grow rapidly through the remainder of the decade and beyond.
By 2035, 86% of installed lamps and luminaires across all categories will be LEDs, up from 6% in 2015. As a result, energy use for lighting in 2035 will be 75% lower than it would have been if LEDs had not entered the market, the report says. DOE estimates that LEDs will compose about 30% of U.S. lighting installations by 2020.
Most of the 5.1 quads of projected energy savings by 2035 will be attributable to two commercial lighting applications (linear and low/high-bay), one residential application (A-type), and one that crosses both residential and commercial (directional). Connected lighting and other control technologies will account for almost 2.3 quads of the total savings.
By 2035, “LED products will dominate every general lighting niche,” the report says.