Construction costs have stopped spiking but likely won’t return to 2020 levels

Higher costs reshape real estate viability and capital planning globally, according to JLL’s new Global Construction Costs Index 2026.

Construction costs have stopped spiking, but have settled at a higher level and likely won’t return to 2020 levels, according to JLL’s new Global Construction Costs Index 2026.

Annual cost escalation is at 3% to 6%, up from the typical 2% to 3% before 2020. The new reality means waiting to start construction projects is costly, as Tender Price Inflation could add $2 to $3 million to a $50 million project.

With a forecasted further 3.1% to 4.2% increase in global tender prices in 2027, developers and investors must move to continuous evaluation of feasibility models.

Higher costs are rewriting real estate viability across sectors: Asset classes with strong value appreciation, such as industrial facilities and data centers, are successfully absorbing elevated build costs, while office and retail sectors face a more complex return-on-investment calculation.

Labor cost pressures are structural, with demand increasing as supply shrinks and construction wages rising 8% to 35% across markets from 2020 to 2026.

The labor shortage for electricians, plumbers, and HVAC specialists is particularly acute. Rising AI-driven demand for manufacturing facilities, high-performance offices, and data centers is intensifying competition for these specialist skills.

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