In the recent U.S. Construction Pipeline Trend Report released by Lodging Econometrics (LE), at the close of the fourth quarter of 2021, Dallas leads the U.S. markets in the number of pipeline projects with 152 projects/18,180 rooms. Following Dallas, the U.S. markets with the largest total hotel construction pipelines by project count are Atlanta, at a cyclical high, with 133 projects/17,593 rooms; New York City with 121 projects/19,303 rooms; Los Angeles with 120 projects/19,815 rooms; and Houston, with 91 projects/9,912 rooms.
Despite the impact COVID-19 has had on hotel development, three markets in the U.S. announced more than 10 new construction projects in Q4‘21. Miami had the highest number of new projects announced into the pipeline with 17 projects/2,797 rooms. Following Miami is Dallas with 13 projects/1,308 rooms, and then Orlando with 11 projects/1,791 rooms.
The market with the greatest number of projects already in the ground, at the end of the fourth quarter, is New York with 90 projects/14,513 rooms. Following distantly are Dallas with 28 projects/3,945 rooms, Austin with 28 projects/3,706 rooms, Atlanta with 26 projects/4,120 rooms, and Detroit with 23 projects under construction, accounting for 2,432 rooms. These five markets collectively account for 20% of the total number of projects currently under construction in the U.S.
Dallas has the most projects scheduled to start in the next 12 months, with 51 projects/5,989 rooms. Behind Dallas are Atlanta with 51 projects/5,989 rooms; Houston, with 42 projects/4,107 rooms; Los Angeles with 41 projects/6,278 rooms; and Phoenix with 38 projects/4,401 rooms. Dallas also has the largest number of projects in early planning, at the end of Q4’21, with 73 projects/8,246 rooms. Los Angeles follows with 57 projects/9,907 rooms; Atlanta 56 projects/6,561 rooms; Orlando 45 projects/7,896 rooms; and Nashville 38 projects/4,680 rooms.
The top 50 markets saw 449 hotels/63,742 rooms open in 2021. LE is forecasting these same 50 markets to open another 446 projects/57,837 rooms in 2022 for a 2.2% growth rate, and 421 projects/52,460 rooms in 2023 for a growth rate of 1.9%.
Moving into the New Year, an important metric to monitor will be markets with large construction pipelines as compared to their existing census of open & operating hotels. These markets are likely to see the fastest supply growth and largest supply-demand variances over the next few years. At the end of 2021, there were 17 markets with total pipelines in excess of 15% of their current census. Raleigh-Durham tops this list at 24.1%, followed by Miami, Fort Worth-Arlington, Austin, and then Memphis at 22.1%.
The markets topping the forecast for new hotel openings in 2022 will be New York City with 48 new hotels/6,656 rooms for a 5.4% growth rate, Atlanta with 22 projects/2,398 rooms for a 2.1% growth rate, Dallas with 21 projects/2,522 rooms for a 2.4% growth rate, and Austin with 20 projects/2,722 rooms for a 5.9% growth rate. LE expects a 2.1% average growth rate for the top 25 markets in 2022 and, come 2023, these top 25 markets will experience an average growth rate of 1.9%. New York will again top the charts in 2023 for new hotel openings. LE anticipates New York will open 42 new hotels, accounting for 7,058 rooms, again for a 5.4% growth rate, followed by Atlanta 21 projects/3,664 rooms for a 3.2% growth rate, and Dallas with 21 new opens/2,318 rooms for a growth rate of 2.2%.
Related Stories
Market Data | May 2, 2023
Nonresidential construction spending up 0.7% in March 2023 versus previous month
National nonresidential construction spending increased by 0.7% in March, according to an Associated Builders and Contractors analysis of data published today by the U.S. Census Bureau. On a seasonally adjusted annualized basis, nonresidential spending totaled $997.1 billion for the month.
Hotel Facilities | May 2, 2023
U.S. hotel construction up 9% in the first quarter of 2023, led by Marriott and Hilton
In the latest United States Construction Pipeline Trend Report from Lodging Econometrics (LE), analysts report that construction pipeline projects in the U.S. continue to increase, standing at 5,545 projects/658,207 rooms at the close of Q1 2023. Up 9% by both projects and rooms year-over-year (YOY); project totals at Q1 ‘23 are just 338 projects, or 5.7%, behind the all-time high of 5,883 projects recorded in Q2 2008.
Market Data | May 1, 2023
AEC firm proposal activity rebounds in the first quarter of 2023: PSMJ report
Proposal activity for architecture, engineering and construction (A/E/C) firms increased significantly in the 1st Quarter of 2023, according to PSMJ’s Quarterly Market Forecast (QMF) survey. The predictive measure of the industry’s health rebounded to a net plus/minus index (NPMI) of 32.8 in the first three months of the year.
Industry Research | Apr 25, 2023
The commercial real estate sector shouldn’t panic (yet) about recent bank failures
A new Cushman & Wakefield report depicts a “well capitalized” banking industry that is responding assertively to isolated weaknesses, but is also tightening its lending.
Architects | Apr 21, 2023
Architecture billings improve slightly in March
Architecture firms reported a modest increase in March billings. This positive news was tempered by a slight decrease in new design contracts according to a new report released today from The American Institute of Architects (AIA). March was the first time since last September in which billings improved.
Contractors | Apr 19, 2023
Rising labor, material prices cost subcontractors $97 billion in unplanned expenses
Subcontractors continue to bear the brunt of rising input costs for materials and labor, according to a survey of nearly 900 commercial construction professionals.
Data Centers | Apr 14, 2023
JLL's data center outlook: Cloud computing, AI driving exponential growth for data center industry
According to JLL’s new Global Data Center Outlook, the mass adoption of cloud computing and artificial intelligence (AI) is driving exponential growth for the data center industry, with hyperscale and edge computing leading investor demand.
Healthcare Facilities | Apr 13, 2023
Healthcare construction costs for 2023
Data from Gordian breaks down the average cost per square foot for a three-story hospital across 10 U.S. cities.
Higher Education | Apr 13, 2023
Higher education construction costs for 2023
Fresh data from Gordian breaks down the average cost per square foot for a two-story college classroom building across 10 U.S. cities.
Market Data | Apr 13, 2023
Construction input prices down year-over-year for first time since August 2020
Construction input prices increased 0.2% in March, according to an Associated Builders and Contractors analysis of U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Producer Price Index data released today. Nonresidential construction input prices rose 0.4% for the month.
