The global workforce will look drastically different in 2030, and that has major implications for the office market.
By that year, some 693 million Baby Boomers will have reached retirement age, and 1.3 billion members of Gen Z will have entered the labor force. The commercial real estate industry, investors, and policy-makers should all take note, according to a new research report from Cushman & Wakefield, “Demographic Shifts: The World in 2030.”
Generation Z is actually the largest cohort in the world with just under two billion people, or 26% of the global population. Demographic trends will drive the pace of growth in cities around the world. Cities must establish themselves as places that are attractive to the highest quality workers in order to have the greatest real estate opportunities for renters and owners.
Cushman & Wakefield compared labor force growth and GDP growth of more than 137 cities worldwide. Cities with high growth in both categories have the best prospects for strong real estate demand, while slow growth in both categories indicates a lagging market. Cities with faster growth in GDP than in the working-age population are high productivity markets. Those with greater growth in labor than GDP are considered low productivity markets.