In its first-quarter index of Construction Confidence, the Associated Builders and Contractors (ABC) found that 55% of contractors expected their sales to increase over the following six months, and only 19% thought their sales would decline in that period.
They might need to recalibrate their exuberance, in light of the trade group’s latest analysis of data published by the U.S. Census Bureau, which ABC released today. It estimates that national nonresidential construction spending in May, at $784.5 billion, was down 7.1% from the same month a year ago, and off 0.7% from spending levels in April 2021.
On a year-over-year basis, spending for every nonresidential category that ABC tracks, except sewage and waste disposal, was negative. Spending on public safety projects—which surged during the early months of the pandemic—showed the greatest decline in May, 39.6%, and lodging also took a big hit (off 23.3% to $22.6 billion). On the other hand, spending in May on healthcare construction, nearly $47 billion, was down only marginally, by 1.5%, compared to the same month a year ago.
WORKER SHORTAGES AND MATERIAL PRICING REMAIN PROJECT ROADBLOCKS
Construction spending for public safety and lodging projects showed the steepest declines in May compared to the same month a year ago.
A red-hot data center market hasn’t spelled more office construction, notes Anirban Basu, ABC’s Chief Economist. Basu also points out that while some private construction segments are struggling under the dislocating impacts of the pandemic, public nonresidential construction actually has declined more rapidly than the private sector over the past year.
Basu sees some hope for the future. Public construction spending should benefit from improvements in state and local governments’ financial conditions. But he tempers his predictions because of still-high construction materials prices and “deeply problematic” worker shortages. Basu expressed some concern, too, about the disproportionate amount of spending moving toward residential construction, which accounted for 41% of the pre-pandemic total and 49% in May.
Related Stories
Apartments | Mar 13, 2024
A landscaped canyon runs through this luxury apartment development in Denver
Set to open in April, One River North is a 16-story, 187-unit luxury apartment building with private, open-air terraces located in Denver’s RiNo arts district. Biophilic design plays a central role throughout the building, allowing residents to connect with nature and providing a distinctive living experience.
Affordable Housing | Mar 12, 2024
An all-electric affordable housing project in Southern California offers 48 apartments plus community spaces
In Santa Monica, Calif., Brunson Terrace is an all-electric, 100% affordable housing project that’s over eight times more energy efficient than similar buildings, according to architect Brooks + Scarpa. Located across the street from Santa Monica College, the net zero building has been certified LEED Platinum.
Contractors | Mar 12, 2024
The average U.S. contractor has 8.1 months worth of construction work in the pipeline, as of February 2024
Associated Builders and Contractors reported that its Construction Backlog Indicator declined to 8.1 months in February, according to an ABC member survey conducted Feb. 20 to March 5. The reading is down 1.1 months from February 2023.
Museums | Mar 11, 2024
Nebraska’s Joslyn Art Museum to reopen this summer with new Snøhetta-designed pavilion
In Omaha, Neb., the Joslyn Art Museum, which displays art from ancient times to the present, has announced it will reopen on September 10, following the completion of its new 42,000-sf Rhonda & Howard Hawks Pavilion. Designed in collaboration with Snøhetta and Alley Poyner Macchietto Architecture, the Hawks Pavilion is part of a museum overhaul that will expand the gallery space by more than 40%.
Affordable Housing | Mar 11, 2024
Los Angeles’s streamlined approval policies leading to boom in affordable housing plans
Since December 2022, Los Angeles’s planning department has received plans for more than 13,770 affordable units. The number of units put in the approval pipeline in roughly one year is just below the total number of affordable units approved in Los Angeles in 2020, 2021, and 2022 combined.
BIM and Information Technology | Mar 11, 2024
BIM at LOD400: Why Level of Development 400 matters for design and virtual construction
As construction projects grow more complex, producing a building information model at Level of Development 400 (LOD400) can accelerate schedules, increase savings, and reduce risk, writes Stephen E. Blumenbaum, PE, SE, Walter P Moore's Director of Construction Engineering.
AEC Tech | Mar 9, 2024
9 steps for implementing digital transformation in your AEC business
Regardless of a businesses size and type, digital solutions like workflow automation software, AI-based analytics, and integrations can significantly enhance efficiency, productivity, and competitiveness.
Sports and Recreational Facilities | Mar 7, 2024
Bjarke Ingels’ design for the Oakland A’s new Las Vegas ballpark resembles ‘a spherical armadillo’
Designed by Bjarke Ingels Group (BIG) in collaboration with HNTB, the new ballpark for the Oakland Athletics Major League Baseball team will be located on the Las Vegas Strip and offer panoramic views of the city skyline. The 33,000-capacity covered, climate-controlled stadium will sit on nine acres on Las Vegas Boulevard.
Adaptive Reuse | Mar 7, 2024
3 key considerations when converting a warehouse to a laboratory
Does your warehouse facility fit the profile for a successful laboratory conversion that can demand higher rents and lower vacancy rates? Here are three important considerations to factor before proceeding.
Shopping Centers | Mar 7, 2024
How shopping centers can foster strong community connections
In today's retail landscape, shopping centers are evolving beyond mere shopping destinations to become vibrant hubs of community life. Here are three strategies from Nadel Architecture + Planning for creating strong local connections.