In its latest outlook report for the multifamily rental market, Yardi Matrix outlined several reasons for hope for a solid recovery for the multifamily housing sector in 2021, especially during the second half of the year.
While multifamily owners, developers, and property managers collectively braced for severe drops in rent growth, construction starts, project completions, and availability of capital amid the COVID-19 pandemic, the drastic declines never materialized.
Rent growth did take a step back in select markets, especially in "high-cost gateway" metros like San Jose (-13.7%) and San Francisco (-9.4%), as renters continued to leave pricey urban neighborhoods for less-dense, cheaper suburban areas.
But on the flip side, "many tertiary and tech hub markets have benefited from migration out of the gateways," wrote the authors of the Yardi Matrix report. Secondary and tech markets like the Inland Empire, Sacramento, Tampa, and Las Vegas all saw solid rent growth in 2020.
Multifamily construction pipeline for 2021
Other than the temporary shutdowns of work sites during the pandemic, construction work on multifamily housing developments continued to hum along through 2020 and into 2021. In all, 285,000 multifamily units were delivered throughout U.S. markets in 2020, down about 7% from 2019, but not nearly as severe a drop as many had predicted.
According to Yardi Matrix, the multifamily sector has a "robust pipeline" of new projects, with some 765,000 units in some stage of construction as of early 2021. This "should keep deliveries above that 300,000 mark for the next few years." The firm projects 327,718 units will be delivered in 2021.
Here are the top 25 multifamily markets for 2021 (total number of construction completions, % growth in completions YOY):
1. Dallas: 22,909 completions (+12.1% YOY)
2. Miami: 16,262 (+66.3%)
3. Washington, D.C.: 14,541 (+50.5%)
4. Houston: 11,500 (-3.1%)
5. Los Angeles: 11,296 (+16.5%)
6. Atlanta: 10,939 (+9.7%)
7. Austin: 10,301 (-10.0%)
8. Seattle: 9,816 (+29.9%)
9. Phoenix: 9,334 (+13.6%)
10. Denver: 8,653 (-29.7%)
11. Boston: 8,449 (+20.8%)
12. Chicago: 7,797 (+0.8%)
13. New York City: 7,335 (+24.2%)
14. San Francisco: 7,166 (+64.8%)
15. Twin Cities: 6,760 (+4.9%)
16. Charlotte: 6,692 (+55.3%)
17. Orlando: 6,662 (+21.5%)
18. Philadelphia: 6,071 (+27.7%)
19. Nashville: 5,457 (+41.1%)
20. Tampa–St. Petersburg: 5,103 (+20.1%)
21. San Antonio: 4,960 (-6.5%)
22. New Jersey–Northern: 4,955 (+29.9%)
23. Salt Lake City: 4,633 (-0.6%)
24. Louisville: 4,484 (+215.6%)
25. White Plains: 4,464 (+199.6%)
DOWNLOAD THE FULL REPORT
Related Stories
MFPRO+ New Projects | Apr 16, 2024
Marvel-designed Gowanus Green will offer 955 affordable rental units in Brooklyn
The community consists of approximately 955 units of 100% affordable housing, 28,000 sf of neighborhood service retail and community space, a site for a new public school, and a new 1.5-acre public park.
MFPRO+ News | Apr 15, 2024
Two multifamily management firms merge together
MEB Management Services, a Phoenix-based multifamily management company, and Weller Management, a third-party property management and consulting company, officially merged to become Bryten Real Estate Partners—creating a nationally recognized management company.
Mixed-Use | Apr 13, 2024
Former industrial marina gets adaptive reuse treatment
At its core, adaptive reuse is an active reimagining of the built environment in ways that serve the communities who use it. Successful adaptive reuse uncovers the latent potential in a place and uses it to meet people’s present needs.
MFPRO+ News | Apr 12, 2024
Legal cannabis has cities grappling with odor complaints
Relaxed pot laws have led to a backlash of complaints linked to the odor emitted from smoking and vaping. To date, 24 states have legalized or decriminalized marijuana and several others have made it available for medicinal use.
MFPRO+ News | Apr 10, 2024
5 key design trends shaping tomorrow’s rental apartments
The multifamily landscape is ever-evolving as changing demographics, health concerns, and work patterns shape what tenants are looking for in their next home.
Mixed-Use | Apr 9, 2024
A surging master-planned community in Utah gets its own entertainment district
Since its construction began two decades ago, Daybreak, the 4,100-acre master-planned community in South Jordan, Utah, has been a catalyst and model for regional growth. The latest addition is a 200-acre mixed-use entertainment district that will serve as a walkable and bikeable neighborhood within the community, anchored by a minor-league baseball park and a cinema/entertainment complex.
Multifamily Housing | Apr 9, 2024
March reports record gains in multifamily rent growth in 20 months
Asking rents for multifamily units increased $8 during the month to $1,721; year-over-year growth grew 30 basis points to 0.9 percent—a normal seasonal growth pattern according to Yardi Matrix.
Industry Research | Apr 4, 2024
Expenses per multifamily unit reach $8,950 nationally
Overall expenses per multifamily unit rose to $8,950, a 7.1% increase year-over-year (YOY) as of January 2024, according to an examination of more than 20,000 properties analyzed by Yardi Matrix.
Affordable Housing | Apr 1, 2024
Biden Administration considers ways to influence local housing regulations
The Biden Administration is considering how to spur more affordable housing construction with strategies to influence reform of local housing regulations.
Affordable Housing | Apr 1, 2024
Chicago voters nix ‘mansion tax’ to fund efforts to reduce homelessness
Chicago voters in March rejected a proposed “mansion tax” that would have funded efforts to reduce homelessness in the city.